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How Peter Obi Outsmarted Tinubu and APC

By Victor Okoro

Tim Elombah por Tim Elombah
May 6, 2026
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Mr. Peter Obi

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TDWhile everyone was watching the Labour Party and ADC, Peter Obi was already three steps ahead. By the time the political class realized what was happening, the game had changed.

Most people think his move to the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) was sudden. It wasn’t. It was planned long before the noise started.

NDC itself wasn’t just another party. It was registered by court order, which made it difficult to challenge.

More importantly, the window for any appeal had already closed, and only INEC had the power to contest it. That moment passed quietly, unnoticed.

Now go back to early 2026. Senator Seriake Dickson, former governor of Bayelsa, registered NDC in February.

This happened just weeks after a private meeting with Peter Obi. At the time, it didn’t mean much to observers. In reality, that was the foundation being laid.

Around the same period, Obi was frequently visiting former President Goodluck Jonathan in Otueke. Soon, rumors began to spread that Jonathan might run for president under the NDC.

That rumor served a purpose. It distracted everyone.

Tinubu’s camp didn’t see NDC as a threat. Their focus remained on the Labour Party and ADC.

Efforts went into weakening those platforms, while INEC was busy slowing down the registration of other parties believed to be linked to Obi.

Meanwhile, something else was quietly coming together. NDC was being prepared.

Then came another move that seemed random at the time. Senator Dickson visited Rabiu Kwankwaso in Kano.

Many people didn’t understand it then. Looking back now, it was part of a larger alignment.

Peter Obi, on his part, kept repeating one thing: ‘He would be on the ballot no matter what happens.’

That wasn’t a hopeful statement. It was a calculated one. He already knew the path he would take.

Obi also understood that powerful interests within ADC would not allow him to emerge as their presidential candidate.

So while ADC leadership believed they had boxed him in, especially after settling on Atiku Abubakar, Obi was already preparing his alternative.

When ADC made its move, Obi made his.

At that point, Tinubu’s camp began to hear whispers that Obi might defect to NDC. In response, there were moves in the National Assembly to introduce laws that could block last-minute defections.

But timing is everything. Before anything could be finalized, Obi had already switched.

The move came fast and caught many off guard. Tinubu himself was reportedly forced to adjust plans as the political landscape shifted almost overnight.

Now the focus is no longer on the Labour Party or ADC.

It is on NDC, a party that was quietly secured, strategically built, and activated at the right moment.

And this time, stopping it may not be so simple.

Whether people saw it coming or not, Peter Obi has positioned himself for the 2027 ballot.

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Tim Elombah

Tim Elombah

Former Editor of Elombah.com (https://elombah.com), former Editor-in-Chief of News Band (https://news.band), former GM/COO of Diaspora Digital Media [DDM] (https://diasporadigitalmedia.com), MD of This Dawn News.

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