THIS DAWN — As Nigeria edges closer to the 2027 general elections, a fierce debate is unfolding within the African Democratic Congress (ADC) over who should emerge as its presidential candidate.
Allegations are mounting that powerful figures within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) are quietly backing Atiku Abubakar to clinch the ADC ticket.
The move, critics say, is designed to weaken the opposition and secure APC’s continued dominance.
Supporters of the Obidient Movement argue that only Peter Obi can energize the opposition, mobilize millions of young voters, and mount a credible challenge to APC.
Alleged APC Strategy
Political insiders claim APC cabals see Atiku’s candidacy as a strategic advantage.
The reasoning is straightforward: if Atiku secures the ADC ticket, many young voters—already disillusioned with recycled leadership—may disengage, leading to low turnout.
APC, with its entrenched structures, financial resources, and loyal voter base, would then find it easier to secure victory.
By contrast, Peter Obi’s candidacy is viewed as a direct threat.
His ability to galvanize youth participation was evident in the 2023 elections, where his campaign drew massive crowds and inspired millions of first-time voters.
APC leaders reportedly fear that Obi’s presence on the ballot could collapse their power base in key regions.
The Youth Factor
Nigeria’s youth, who make up more than half of the population, remain the most decisive bloc in the country’s electoral landscape.
In 2023, Obi’s message of jobs, anti-corruption, and economic reform resonated deeply with young Nigerians.
Many of them registered to vote and attended rallies in unprecedented numbers.
Atiku, on the other hand, is seen by many youths as part of the old guard.
His repeated presidential bids and association with entrenched elites have left younger voters skeptical of his ability to deliver meaningful change.
Recent developments, including his son’s defection to APC, have further fueled doubts about his credibility as an opposition candidate.
Integrity and Trust
For many Nigerians, especially the youth, integrity and trust are central to political engagement.
Obi’s reputation for frugality, transparency, and reformist ideas has made him a symbol of hope for those seeking a break from decades of misrule.
Atiku Abubakar’s candidacy, however, risks reinforcing voter apathy.
Critics argue that his presence on the ballot would signal continuity rather than change, discouraging young voters from participating.
Low turnout, they warn, would play directly into APC’s hands.
APC’s Calculated Moves
Observers point to comments attributed to APC minister Hannatu Musawa, who reportedly said: “If Peter Obi is the candidate, that is the fastest way for the opposition to lose in 2027.”
While the statement appears counterintuitive, critics interpret it as a deliberate attempt to downplay Obi’s threat.
Meanwhile, that is seen as a quiet maneuver to ensure Atiku secures the ADC ticket.
The alleged strategy is clear:
- Push Atiku to win the ADC ticket.
- Watch youth enthusiasm collapse.
- Exploit low turnout to secure APC’s victory.
The Stakes for ADC
The ADC now faces a defining choice.
Awarding its ticket to Atiku could alienate millions of young voters, leading to voter apathy and an easy win for APC.
Conversely, giving the ticket to Obi could transform ADC into a formidable opposition force.
It will reignite enthusiasm across the country and create a broad coalition capable of challenging APC’s dominance.
Supporters of Obi insist that the lesson from 2023 is clear: youth-driven politics can reshape Nigeria’s electoral map.
They argue that only Obi has the credibility and energy to mobilize this demographic, while Atiku’s candidacy risks handing APC another victory.
The battle for the ADC ticket is more than an internal party contest—it is a test of Nigeria’s opposition politics.
Allegations of APC’s covert support for Atiku highlight the high stakes involved.
For many Nigerians, especially the youth, the choice is stark: Peter Obi represents energy, credibility, and change.
Atiku represents continuity, fatigue, and disengagement.
As one Obidient supporter bluntly put it: “Our fight is to make sure Obi secures that ticket from ADC. It’s game over if Atiku does.”
The coming months will determine whether ADC embraces the momentum of youth-driven politics or falls into the trap of old-guard calculations.
Whichever of the choices could shape Nigeria’s political future in 2027.
